Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Gold Medal match

Aug 6, 2021 at 1pm UK

Sweden Women
1 - 1
Canada Women

Blackstenius (34')
Asllani (105')

FT
(aet)

Fleming (67' pen.)
Beckie (27')

Canada Women win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Sweden Women and Canada Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%).

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Canada Women
48.45%	23.05%	28.5%

Both teams to score 61.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.55%

39.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.2%

61.79%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44%

16.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.67%

46.33%

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61%

26.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46%

61.54%

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 48.45%

Canada Women 28.5%

Draw 23.04%

Sweden Women	Draw	Canada Women
2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.45%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.04%	1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.5%