Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Semi-Finals

Aug 2, 2021 at 9am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

USA Women
0 - 1
Canada Women

O'Hara (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fleming (74' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between USA Women and Canada Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Canada Women had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Canada Women win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Canada Women
61.13%	22.23%	16.64%

Both teams to score 48.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5%

49.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.47%

71.53%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28%

15.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.19%

44.8%

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.01%

42.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72%

79.28%

Score Analysis

USA Women 61.13%

Canada Women 16.64%

Draw 22.22%

USA Women	Draw	Canada Women
1-0 @ 12.5% 2-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.02% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.13%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.22%	0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.64%