Spain national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Westpac Stadium
Costa Rica national football team

Spain Women
3 - 0
Costa Rica Women

del Campo (21' og.), Bonmati (23'), Gonzalez (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between Spain Women and Costa Rica Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: England Women 2-1 Spain Women
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Game: Costa Rica Women 0-1 Brazil Women
Thursday, June 18 at 12am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 96.81%. A draw had a probability of 2.9% and a win for Costa Rica Women had a probability of 0.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (17.04%) and 2-0 (13.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.79%), while for a Costa Rica Women win it was 0-1 (0.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Spain Women in this match.

Result
Spain WomenDrawCosta Rica Women
96.81% (0.005999999999986 0.01)2.86% (-0.004 -0)0.33%
Both teams to score 12.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.12% (0.026999999999994 0.03)42.88% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.95% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.99% (0.012 0.01)10% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Costa Rica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
12.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)87.4% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.83%99.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Spain Women 96.8%
    Costa Rica Women 0.33%
    Draw 2.86%
Spain WomenDrawCosta Rica Women
3-0 @ 17.53%
4-0 @ 17.04%
2-0 @ 13.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 13.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 8.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
7-0 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
8-0 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.3%
2-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
9-0 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 96.8%
0-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-1 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 2.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 0.33%

How you voted: Spain Women vs Costa Rica Women

Spain Women
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Costa Rica Women
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2015 9pm