Spain national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 26, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Eden Park
Zambia national football team

Spain Women
5 - 0
Zambia Women

Abilleira (9'), Hermoso (13', 70'), Maria Redondo Ferrer (69', 85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lubandji (90+1'), Tembo (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between Spain Women and Zambia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Spain Women 3-0 Costa Rica Women
Friday, July 21 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Zambia Women

All competitions
Last Game: Zambia Women 0-5 Japan Women
Saturday, July 22 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 96.86%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for Zambia Women had a probability of 0.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 5-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.26%) and 6-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.04%), while for a Zambia Women win it was 1-2 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Spain Women in this match.

Result
Spain WomenDrawZambia Women
96.86% (0.46899999999999 0.47)2.36% (-0.3041 -0.3)0.78% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 41.02% (-2.424 -2.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
91.48% (0.221 0.22)8.52% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
80.42% (0.40599999999999 0.41)19.58% (-0.404 -0.4)
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.34% (0.057000000000002 0.06)0.66% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
96.02% (0.273 0.27)3.98% (-0.27 -0.27)
Zambia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.29% (-2.464 -2.46)58.71% (2.467 2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.02% (-1.365 -1.37)89.98% (1.367 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Spain Women 96.85%
    Zambia Women 0.78%
    Draw 2.36%
Spain WomenDrawZambia Women
5-0 @ 10.3% (0.433 0.43)
4-0 @ 10.26% (0.276 0.28)
6-0 @ 8.62% (0.495 0.5)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.093 0.09)
7-0 @ 6.18% (0.447 0.45)
5-1 @ 5.49% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 5.47% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-1 @ 4.59% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.297 -0.3)
8-0 @ 3.88% (0.337 0.34)
7-1 @ 3.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.6% (-0.222 -0.22)
9-0 @ 2.17% (0.22 0.22)
8-1 @ 2.07% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.46% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.197 -0.2)
6-2 @ 1.22% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.178 -0.18)
9-1 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
10-0 @ 1.09% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 5.04%
Total : 96.85%
1-1 @ 1.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 2.36%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 0.78%

How you voted: Spain Women vs Zambia Women

Spain Women
66.7%
Draw
12.5%
Zambia Women
20.8%
24