Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Olympique de Rades

Tunisia
0 - 1
Gambia

Meriah (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ceesay (17')
Ceesay (62'), Bari (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tunisia and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Gambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Gambia
48.23% ( -0.03)	28.59% ( 0.23)	23.18% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 40.5% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.49% (

-0.82)

64.51% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.46% (

-0.58)

83.54% (

0.58)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

-0.4)

27.08% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0.53)

62.46% (

0.53)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.54% (

-0.68)

44.46% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.5% (

-0.56)

80.5% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 48.22%

Gambia 23.18%

Draw 28.59%

Tunisia	Draw	Gambia
1-0 @ 15.72% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 48.22%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.18%