Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
2 - 0
Burundi

Diarra (35', 51')
Diarra (41'), Hadji Malick Diouf (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Burundi

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Malawi
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Senegal in this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Burundi
68.78% ( -0.24)	18.83% ( 0.04)	12.39% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33% (

0.33)

43.67% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94% (

0.32)

66.06% (

-0.33)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.39% (

0.03)

11.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.39% (

0.06)

36.61% (

-0.06)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.47% (

0.55)

45.53% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

0.43)

81.35% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Senegal 68.77%

Burundi 12.39%

Draw 18.83%

Senegal	Draw	Burundi
2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 68.77%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.83%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.39%