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Scottish Premiership

St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen logo

St Mirren
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Mandron (60')
Ayunga (17'), Phillips (41'), Mandron (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Devlin (13'), Shinnie (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Rangers
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Mirren.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
38.96% (1.138 1.14)25.92% (0.205 0.21)35.11% (-1.342 -1.34)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.83 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-1.011 -1.01)49.94% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-0.909 -0.91)71.93% (0.91000000000001 0.91)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.15499999999999 0.15)25.16% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.21100000000001 0.21)59.88% (-0.21 -0.21)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-1.263 -1.26)27.34% (1.263 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-1.669 -1.67)62.8% (1.67 1.67)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 38.96%
    Aberdeen 35.11%
    Draw 25.92%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.96%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.278 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.11%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
42.9%
Draw
7.1%
Aberdeen
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
0-3
St Mirren

Keskinen (52'), Lopes (90+5')
Olusanya (7'), Mandron (36', 78')
Penman (23'), Penman (42'), Hemming (65'), Bwomono (72'), Kiltie (90+5'), Tanser (90')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 13
St Mirren
2-1
Aberdeen
Olusanya (19'), Taylor (83')
Gogic (28'), McMenamin (44'), Kiltie (90')
McGrath (50')
McGrath (43'), Shinnie (60'), Molloy (72'), Lopes (79'), Nisbet (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
3-1
St Mirren
Gueye (39'), McGrath (54'), Besuijen (81')
Heltne Nilsen (13'), Devlin (80')
Olusanya (45+3')
Idowu (19'), Rooney (36'), Iacovitti (90')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
St Mirren
2-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (90+6' pen.), Olusanya (90+7')
Barron (1')
Miovski (45'), McGarry (71'), Shinnie (87'), Devlin (90+4'), MacDonald (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Aberdeen
0-3
St Mirren

Devlin (25')
O'Hara (12'), Ayunga (78'), Kiltie (90+3' pen.)
> Preview