Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
St Mirren
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Jonah Ayunga 17' yellowcard
  • Killian Phillips 41' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 47' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 60' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 13'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 23'

St Mirren vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 2 Rangers
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Toyosi Olusanya

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Mirren.

Result

St Mirren 38.96% ▲ (+1.14)
Draw 25.92% ▲ (+0.21)
Aberdeen 35.11% ▼ (-1.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.37% ▼ (-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.06% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 2.5 49.94% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 3.5 28.07% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 3.5 71.93% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 4.5 13.36% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 4.5 86.64% ▲ (+0.62)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 74.84% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 40.12% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 59.88% ▼ (-0.22)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 72.65% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 0.5 27.34% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 1.5 37.2% ▼ (-1.67)
Under 1.5 62.8% ▲ (+1.68)

Score analysis

St Mirren 38.96%
Draw 25.92%
Aberdeen 35.11%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.43)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-96.97)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren
  • Topi Keskinen 52' yellowcard
  • Luis Lopes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Toyosi Olusanya 7'
  • yellowcard Callum Penman 23'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 36'
  • yellowcard Callum Penman 42'
  • yellowcard Zach Hemming 65'
  • yellowcard Elvis Bwomono 72'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 78'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 90'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
St Mirren
Nov 23, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Toyosi Olusanya 19' goal
  • Alex Gogic 28' yellowcard
  • Conor McMenamin 44' yellowcard
  • Richard Taylor 83' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 43'
  • goal Jamie McGrath 50'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 60'
  • yellowcard Gavin Molloy 72'
  • yellowcard Luis Lopes 79'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
Aug 11, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 13' yellowcard
  • Habib Gueye 39' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 54' goal
  • Nicky Devlin 80' yellowcard
  • Vicente Besuijen 81' goal
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 19'
  • yellowcard Shaun Rooney 36'
  • goal Toyosi Olusanya 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
St Mirren
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Mark O'Hara 90'+6' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 90'+7' goal
  • goal Connor Barron 1'
  • yellowcard Bojan Miovski 45'
  • yellowcard James McGarry 71'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 87'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Angus MacDonald 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Aberdeen
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren
  • Nicky Devlin 25' yellowcard
  • goal Mark O'Hara 12'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 78'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
St Mirren
Aug 27, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen
  • Ryan Strain 34' yellowcard
  • Stephen Robinson 35' yellowcard
  • Greg Kiltie 59' goal
  • Alex Greive 76' goal
  • Zach Hemming 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Jonny Hayes 42'
  • yellowcard Luis Lopes 71'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 88'
  • goal Bojan Miovski 90'+10'

Form Data

St Mirren 2 - 2 Rangers
St Mirren 3 - 2 Ross County
Dundee 2 - 0 St Mirren
St Mirren 5 - 1 Kilmarnock
Motherwell 2 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 2 - 5 Celtic
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Hibernian
Hearts 1 - 2 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 2 - 2 Rangers
Ross County 0 - 1 Aberdeen
Aberdeen 4 - 1 Motherwell
St Johnstone 0 - 0 Aberdeen