Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Queen of the South

Kelty Hearts
1 - 3
QotS

MacIntyre (4')
O'Ware (34'), Cole (76'), Paterson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lussint (29'), Allan (63'), Kennedy (70')
Hannah (30')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 0-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Queen of the South

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 2-1 Montrose
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawQueen of the South
27.78% (1.41 1.41)25.62% (0.957 0.96)46.6% (-2.37 -2.37)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-1.898 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72% (-3.022 -3.02)51.28% (3.019 3.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (-2.705 -2.71)73.11% (2.702 2.7)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99% (-0.48599999999999 -0.49)33.01% (0.484 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4% (-0.543 -0.54)69.6% (0.542 0.54)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-2.253 -2.25)22% (2.25 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (-3.529 -3.53)55.31% (3.528 3.53)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 27.78%
    Queen of the South 46.59%
    Draw 25.62%
Kelty HeartsDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.834 0.83)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.41 0.41)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.78%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.48 0.48)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.839 0.84)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.99% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.475 -0.48)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.318 -0.32)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.192 -0.19)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.59%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
QotS
0-1
Kelty Hearts

Doherty (45+3'), Smith (55')
Moore (45+5')
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kelty Hearts
2-0
QotS
Cunningham (65', 87' pen.)
Flatman (14'), O'Ware (80')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
QotS
1-5
Kelty Hearts
Hewitt (58')
Douglas (23'), Hannah (52'), Hewitt (73'), Lyon (74')
Douglas (67')
Cunningham (26', 35'), Williamson (41', 70'), Harding (63')
Harding (73')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
QotS
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Lyon (65' og.)
Mumbongo (47'), McKechnie (52'), Cochrane (75'), Gibson (90+3')
Moore (14'), Johnston (67')
Lyon (24'), McKay (47'), Paterson (87')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Kelty Hearts
0-0
QotS
Johnston (16'), Tidser (18'), Tidser (18'), Owens (39')
Connelly (14'), Brydon (55')
rhs 2.0


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