Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
| 30.01% ( | 25.19% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( | 48.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( | 70.43% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( | 29.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( | 65.91% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( | 21.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( | 54.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.57% ( 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.8% |