Scottish League One | Gameweek 21

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
1 - 2
Arbroath

Ruth (4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Winter (15'), Taylor (47')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Annan
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arbroath in this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Arbroath
33.02% ( -0.19)	23.85% ( -0.04)	43.12% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 61.1% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.02% (

0.14)

40.98% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.63% (

0.14)

63.37% (

-0.15)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0.05)

24.31% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

-0.06)

58.69% (

0.06)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

0.16)

19.28% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99% (

0.26)

51.01% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 33.02%

Arbroath 43.12%

Draw 23.85%

Dumbarton	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.02%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.12%