Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Michael Ruth 4'

Andrew Winter 15'
Fraser Taylor 47'

Dumbarton vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

L
L
L
L
D
L

Scottish League One

L
L
L
L
D
L

Last game

Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm

Dumbarton 1 - 3 Stenhousemuir

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Michael Ruth

Arbroath

All competitions

W
W
L
W
W
L

Scottish League One

W
W
L
W
W
L

Last game

Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm

Arbroath 3 - 0 Annan

Goals scored

58

Top scorer

Fraser Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arbroath in this match.

Result

Dumbarton 33.02% ▼ (-0.20)

Draw 23.85% ▼ (-0.05)

Arbroath 43.12% ▲ (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score:

61.1% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.02% ▲ (+0.14)

Under 2.5 40.98% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 3.5 36.63% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 3.5 63.37% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 4.5 19.5% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 4.5 80.5% ▼ (-0.12)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 0.5 24.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 1.5 41.3% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 58.69% ▲ (+0.06)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 80.72% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 0.5 19.28% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 1.5 48.99% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 1.5 51.01% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Dumbarton 33.02%

Draw 23.85%

Arbroath 43.12%

Dumbarton

2-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.04)

1-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.06)

2-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.05)

3-1 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 2.99%

3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.03)

4-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.81%

Total : 33.02%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.91% ▼ (-0.03)

2-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.04)

3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.26%

Total : 23.85%

Arbroath

1-2 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.03)

0-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.04)

0-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)

1-4 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)

0-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)

2-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.28%

Total : 43.12%

Head to Head

Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Gayfield Park

Thomas O'Brien 11'
Dylan Smith 16'
Scott Stewart 73'

Ethan Brown 11'
Carlo Pignatiello 18'
Dylan Smith 47' (OG)
Mark Durnan 68'
Tony Wallace 73'
Ryan Blair 86'
Findlay Gray 90'

Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Michael Ruth 74'
Mouhamed Niang 76'
Matthew Shiels 79'

Scott Stewart 5'
Ryan Dow 50'
Aaron Steele 70'
Ryan Dow 85'
Thomas O'Brien 86'

May 4, 2019 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Michael McKenna 41'
Michael McKenna 62'

Kyle Hutton 35'
Calum Gallagher 54'
Cammy Ballantyne 61'
Craig Barr 74'

Mar 2, 2019 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT The C&G Systems Stadium (Dumbarton)

Ross Forbes 30'
Dom Thomas 52'
Ross Forbes 56'
Dom Thomas 62'
Bobby Barr 82'

Michael McKenna 67'
Michael McKenna 81'
Ryan McCord 82'

Oct 20, 2018 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Thomas O'Brien 39'
Ricky Little 56'
Ryan Wallace 61'
Steven Doris 75'
Gavin Swankie 77'
Mark Whatley 79'
Jason Thomson 90'

Iain Russell 15'
Cameron Ballantyne 42'
Brad Spencer 90'

Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT The C&G Systems Stadium (Dumbarton)

Ryan Thomson 24'
Stuart Carswell 76'
Ross Forbes 90'

Bobby Linn 26'
Colin Hamilton 34'
Jason Thomson 77'

Form Data

Dumbarton 1 - 3 Stenhousemuir

Cove Rangers 2 - 1 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 2 - 3 Montrose

Annan 2 - 1 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa

QotS 3 - 1 Dumbarton

Arbroath 3 - 0 Annan

Arbroath 2 - 1 Kelty Hearts

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Arbroath

QotS 0 - 3 Arbroath

Arbroath 3 - 0 Inverness

Cove Rangers 2 - 1 Arbroath