Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 36.19% ( | 23.71% ( | 40.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.43% ( | 39.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.09% ( | 61.91% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( | 21.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( | 55.19% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( | 20.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( | 52.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 40.09% |