Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.