Scottish League One | Gameweek 26

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Balmoral Stadium

Cove Rangers
2 - 1
Dumbarton

Megginson (45+1' pen.), Fyvie (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pignatiello (7')
Ruth (78'), Miller (90+1')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Cove Rangers and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Cove Rangers 3-1 Annan
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-3 Montrose
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.

Result
Cove Rangers	Draw	Dumbarton
47.91% ( -1.38)	24.93% ( 0.34)	27.16% ( 1.04)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

-0.69)

48.8% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-0.63)

70.9% (

0.62)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59% (

-0.86)

20.4% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.16% (

-1.37)

52.83% (

1.36)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81% (

0.45)

32.18% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.32% (

0.51)

68.67% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Cove Rangers 47.9%

Dumbarton 27.16%

Draw 24.92%

Cove Rangers	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.9%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.16%