Scottish League One | Gameweek 22

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Stewart (3'), Winter (86')
Winter (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cunningham (80')
Paterson (90+4')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Arbroath
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Kelty Hearts
50.76% ( 0.73)	24.65% ( -0.14)	24.58% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

0.07)

49.64% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

0.06)

71.65% (

-0.06)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.33)

19.55% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53% (

0.53)

51.47% (

-0.53)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

-0.47)

34.75% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

-0.5)

71.48% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 50.76%

Kelty Hearts 24.58%

Draw 24.65%

Arbroath	Draw	Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.58%