Scottish League One | Gameweek 25

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
2 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Flatman (12' og.), Buchanan (34')
O'Donnel (63'), Waters (83'), Taggart (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McLeish (10'), Moore (30')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 2-2 Alloa
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Annan
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
41.45% ( -0.15)	25.16% ( -0.06)	33.38% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 56.57% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07% (

0.34)

46.93% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82% (

0.31)

69.18% (

-0.31)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

0.07)

22.55% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

0.1)

56.14% (

-0.1)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

0.3)

26.95% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

0.38)

62.29% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 41.45%

Kelty Hearts 33.38%

Draw 25.16%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.45%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.38%