Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.