Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 46.05% ( | 25.48% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( | 50.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( | 72.23% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( | 21.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% | 31.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% | 68.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.47% |