MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 19:14:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT
Scottish League One | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Inverness
4 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Brannan (2'), Gilmour (16'), Bray (48'), Allan (51')
Allan (60'), Bray (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
O'Reilly (10')
Anderson (72'), (76')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dumbarton 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawStenhousemuir
42.56% (-2.236 -2.24) 27.61% (0.29 0.29) 29.83% (1.945 1.95)
Both teams to score 47.53% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)57.93% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.183 -0.18)78.63% (0.181 0.18)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-1.264 -1.26)26.92% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-1.688 -1.69)62.24% (1.686 1.69)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (1.402 1.4)34.96% (-1.402 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (1.445 1.45)71.7% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 42.55%
    Stenhousemuir 29.83%
    Draw 27.6%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.528 -0.53)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.452 0.45)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.423 0.42)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.211 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.83%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Inverness

Yates (61')
Allan (86')
Devine (62')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Inverness
0-0
Stenhousemuir
Devine (17'), Mckay (56')
Berry (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arbroath29165849321753
2Cove Rangers29146952341848
3StenhousemuirStenhousemuir29146942301248
4Alloa AthleticAlloa29101094338540
5Queen of the SouthQotS29115133237-538
6Kelty Hearts2999113131036
7Montrose29712103037-733
8Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness2913883430432
9Annan AthleticAnnan2986153053-2330
10Dumbarton2959153556-219


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