Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT
Scottish League One | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Inverness
4 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Brannan (2'), Gilmour (16'), Bray (48'), Allan (51')
Allan (60'), Bray (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
O'Reilly (10')
Anderson (72'), (76')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Annan 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawStenhousemuir
42.56% (-2.236 -2.24)27.61% (0.29 0.29)29.83% (1.945 1.95)
Both teams to score 47.53% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)57.93% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.183 -0.18)78.63% (0.181 0.18)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-1.264 -1.26)26.92% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-1.688 -1.69)62.24% (1.686 1.69)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (1.402 1.4)34.96% (-1.402 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (1.445 1.45)71.7% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 42.55%
    Stenhousemuir 29.83%
    Draw 27.6%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.528 -0.53)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.452 0.45)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.423 0.42)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.211 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.83%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Inverness

Yates (61')
Allan (86')
Devine (62')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Inverness
0-0
Stenhousemuir
Devine (17'), Mckay (56')
Berry (45')
rhs 2.0


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