Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Dumbarton
Scottish League One | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Inverness CT

Dumbarton
0 - 1
Inverness


Shiels (19'), Lynas (51'), Lynas (51'), Miller (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bavidge (90+2')
Brannan (25'), Bavidge (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-2 Arbroath
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Montrose
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
22.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (0.019999999999996 0.02)47.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.27% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.61% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)17.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.99% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 22.83%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 53.53%
    Draw 23.62%
DumbartonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.83%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.53%

Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 20
Inverness
2-0
Dumbarton
Bavidge (15'), Gilmour (68')

Shiels (60'), McGuffie (88')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Dumbarton
3-1
Inverness
Hilton (14', 72'), Blair (63')
Wilson (80')
Davidson (28')
Nolan (21'), Savage (56')
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Inverness
1-1
Dumbarton
Devine (44')
Brooks (57'), (85'), Devine (85')
Pignatiello (59')
Hilton (26'), Niang (55')
Niang (79')
Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dumbarton
2-1
Inverness
Wallace (27'), Wallace (50')
Blair (33'), Wallace (55')
Mckay (76')
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
Dumbarton
0-1
Inverness

Hill (47'), Hutton (76')
Vigurs (56')
McKay (57'), Donaldson (87')
rhs 2.0


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