Scottish League One | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
2 - 3
Arbroath

Rankin (73'), Scougall (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dow (20'), Muirhead (47'), Gallagher (88')
Muirhead (31'), Stanton (40'), Dow (61')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 1-2 Arbroath
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
33.69% ( -0.77)	24.94% ( 0.07)	41.37% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

-0.49)

45.83% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85% (

-0.47)

68.15% (

0.46)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

-0.69)

26.23% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.92)

61.33% (

0.92)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.12)

22.11% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

0.19)

55.48% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 33.69%

Arbroath 41.37%

Draw 24.93%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.69%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.37%