Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 30.49% ( | 24.63% ( | 44.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( | 67.92% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( | 28.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( | 63.82% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( | 20.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( | 52.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.88% |