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Arbroath
Scottish League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Dumbarton

Arbroath
1 - 1
Dumbarton

Stanton (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ruth (86')
Lynas (45+1'), Miller (58'), Ruth (81')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 2-3 Arbroath
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawDumbarton
59.86% (-0.416 -0.42)21.83% (0.19 0.19)18.31% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.474 -0.47)45.15% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.456 -0.46)67.49% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)14.67% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (-0.554 -0.55)42.83% (0.553 0.55)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.4% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (-0.023 -0.02)75.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 59.86%
    Dumbarton 18.31%
    Draw 21.83%
ArbroathDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 18.31%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dumbarton
1-2
Arbroath
Ruth (4')
Winter (15'), Taylor (47')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Arbroath
1-3
Dumbarton
O'Brien (11')
Smith (16'), Stewart (73')
Pignatiello (18'), Smith (47' og.), Gray (90')
Brown (11'), Durnan (68'), Wallace (73'), Blair (86')
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dumbarton
2-2
Arbroath
Ruth (74'), Shiels (79')
Niang (76')
Stewart (5'), Dow (50')
Steele (70'), Dow (85'), O'Brien (86')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Arbroath
1-1
Dumbarton
McKenna (62' pen.)
McKenna (41')
Gallagher (54')
Hutton (35'), Barr (74')
Ballantyne (61')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dumbarton
2-0
Arbroath
Forbes (30' pen.), Thomas (52')
Forbes (56'), Thomas (62'), Barr (82')

McKenna (67'), McCord (82')
McKenna (81')