Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Dumbarton

Kelty Hearts
0 - 6
Dumbarton


Flatman (22'), Cunningham (35'), McClure (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mumbongo (17'), Orsi (25'), Pignatiello (35'), Ruth (51'), Shiels (77'), McGuffie (82')
Mumbongo (10'), Niang (38')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Annan 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 2-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Dumbarton has a probability of 32.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Dumbarton win is 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawDumbarton
41.85% (0.308 0.31)25.19% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)32.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (0.033999999999999 0.03)47.16% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (0.032 0.03)69.39% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.163 0.16)22.46% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.242 0.24)56% (-0.243 -0.24)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.16 -0.16)27.32% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.208 -0.21)62.77% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 41.85%
    Dumbarton 32.97%
    Draw 25.19%
Kelty HeartsDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dumbarton
2-0
Kelty Hearts
Orsi (70', 89')
Niang (84'), Orsi (90')

O'Ware (20'), Cunningham (72')
Allan (68')
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Kelty Hearts
2-0
Dumbarton
Cunningham (52'), Williamson (65')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dumbarton
2-2
Kelty Hearts
Durnan (43', 89')
Miller (66'), Gray (68')
McCarvel (10'), Johnston (59')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Third Round
Dumbarton
1-3
Kelty Hearts
Ruth (34')
Wallace (74')
Wallace (90+2'), Wallace (90+2')
Lyon (11'), Biabi (16', 76')
Walker (29'), Biabi (90+1'), McCluskey (90+5')
Walker (78')
rhs 2.0


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