Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 45.93% | 24.31% | 29.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% | 44.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% | 66.88% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( | 19.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% | 51.41% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( | 28.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( | 63.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-1 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.77% |