Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Dumbarton

Alloa
2 - 3
Dumbarton

Donnelly (22'), Sammon (86')
Mackenzie (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ruth (68' pen.), McGuffie (79'), Durnan (90+1')
Wilson (49')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-0 QotS
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawDumbarton
45.93%24.31%29.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49%44.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12%66.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59%51.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.76%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 45.93%
    Dumbarton 29.77%
    Draw 24.3%
Alloa AthleticDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.77%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 23
Dumbarton
1-1
Alloa
Hilton (2')
Durnan (90+2'), Mumbongo (90')
Gentles (50')
Neill (90+2')
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Alloa
2-2
Dumbarton
Donnelly (2'), Waters (76')
Waters (27'), O'Donnel (56'), Neill (81')
Wallace (15', 57')
Pignatiello (29'), Gray (63'), Durnan (89')
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dumbarton
3-3
Alloa
Ruth (5', 76'), Hilton (64')
Durnan (54'), Hetherington (74'), Ruth (90+3')
Donnelly (10'), Cawley (27'), Taggart (84')
Hetherington (73'), Thomson (86'), McKay (87')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Alloa
2-3
Dumbarton
Riley-Snow (82'), Scougall (90+1' pen.)
Graham (42')
Duthie (86' pen., 88'), Syvertsen (90+5')
Paton (81')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dumbarton
1-2
Alloa
Paton (45')
Boyle (39'), Paton (88')
Cawley (22'), King (82')
rhs 2.0


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