Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 54.64% ( | 23.62% ( | 21.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( | 48.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( | 70.37% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( | 17.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( | 48.05% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( | 36.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( | 73.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.64% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.73% |