Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.