Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 38.65% ( | 24.69% | 36.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% | 44.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% | 66.58% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( | 22.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( | 23.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( | 57.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.66% |