Scottish League One | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Balmoral Stadium

Cove Rangers
3 - 1
QotS

Yule (28'), Emslie (35', 62')
Scully (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lyon (7')
Dickenson (38')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Cove Rangers and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Queen of the South

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 0-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.

Result
Cove Rangers	Draw	Queen of the South
46.11% ( 0.62)	26.15% ( -0.24)	27.74% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

0.72)

53.41% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

0.61)

74.94% (

-0.61)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

0.61)

23.12% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

0.88)

56.99% (

-0.88)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82% (

0.08)

34.17% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13% (

0.09)

70.87% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Cove Rangers 46.11%

Queen of the South 27.74%

Draw 26.15%

Cove Rangers	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.74%