Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 43.72% ( | 26.65% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( | 54.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( | 75.79% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( | 24.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( | 59.27% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( | 33.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.63% |