Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 31.69% ( | 25.92% ( | 42.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( | 50.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( | 72.61% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( | 29.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( | 66% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( | 23.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( | 57.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.38% |