Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2025 at 7pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab
2 - 3
Al Ittihad

Carrasco (45+3'), Guanca (67')
Podence (90+5'), Al Shwirekh (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Diaby (1', 34'), Bergwijn (58')
Ahmed Fallatah (86'), Diaby (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, May 15 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 1-3 Al Ittihad
Thursday, May 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 41%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (5.04%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.54% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.36% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06% (0.019999999999996 0.02)54.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.04%
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.37% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 41%
    Al Ittihad 36.54%
    Draw 22.46%
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.54%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad

Al Shabab
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Al Ittihad
60.0%
35
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2025 5pm
Gameweek 16
Al Ittihad
2-1
Al Shabab
Al-Oboud (32'), Benzema (45+3')
Pereira (17'), Al-Shanqeeti (35')
Camara (45+5')
Hoedt (60'), Al-Thani (84')
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Al Ittihad
1-3
Al Shabab
Hamdallah (58')
Haji (18')
Diallo (48'), Carlos (82'), Al-Juwayr (90+10')
Sharahili (41'), Kanabah (52'), Al-Monassar (90+7')
Nov 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al Shabab
1-0
Al Ittihad
Carlos (14')
Cuellar (45+2'), Banega (61'), Al-Monassar (73'), Al-Muwallad (83'), Saiss (89')
rhs 2.0


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