Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2025 at 7pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab
2 - 3
Al Ittihad

Carrasco (45+3'), Guanca (67')
Podence (90+5'), Al Shwirekh (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Diaby (1', 34'), Bergwijn (58')
Ahmed Fallatah (86'), Diaby (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, May 15 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 1-3 Al Ittihad
Thursday, May 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 41%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (5.04%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.54% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.36% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06% (0.019999999999996 0.02)54.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.04%
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.37% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 41%
    Al Ittihad 36.54%
    Draw 22.46%
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 41%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.54%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad

Al Shabab
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Al Ittihad
60.0%
35
Head to Head
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Gameweek 16
Al Ittihad
2-1
Al Shabab
Al-Oboud (32'), Benzema (45+3')
Pereira (17'), Al-Shanqeeti (35')
Camara (45+5')
Hoedt (60'), Al-Thani (84')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Al Ittihad
1-3
Al Shabab
Hamdallah (58')
Haji (18')
Diallo (48'), Carlos (82'), Al-Juwayr (90+10')
Sharahili (41'), Kanabah (52'), Al-Monassar (90+7')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al Shabab
1-0
Al Ittihad
Carlos (14')
Cuellar (45+2'), Banega (61'), Al-Monassar (73'), Al-Muwallad (83'), Saiss (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl Ittihad34265379354483
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal34236595415475
3Al-Nassr34217680384270
4Al Quadisiya34215853312268
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli34214969363367
6Al ShababAl Shabab341861065412460
7Al Ettifaq34148124445-150
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun34129134039145
9Al Kholood34124184264-2240
10Al Fateh34116174761-1439
11Al Riyadh34108163752-1538
12Al Khaleej34107174057-1737
13Al Fayha34812142749-2236
14Damac3498173750-1335
15Al Okhdood3497183356-2334
16Al WahdaAl Wahda3496194267-2533
17Al Orubah3493223174-4330
RAl RaedAl Raed3463254166-2521
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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