Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 0-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Raed	Draw	Al Ittihad
16.6% ( 0.33)	19.14% ( 0.17)	64.26% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 58.44% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.26% (

-0.18)

35.74% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.19% (

-0.2)

57.81% (

0.2)

Al Raed Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.31% (

0.27)

34.69% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.58% (

0.29)

71.42% (

-0.29)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.48% (

-0.18)

10.52% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.78% (

-0.4)

34.22% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Al Raed 16.6%

Al Ittihad 64.26%

Draw 19.14%

Al Raed	Draw	Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 16.6%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.14%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.96% Total : 64.26%