Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 9.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al Raed	Draw	Al-Hilal
9.04% ( 1.34)	14.21% ( 1.3)	76.75% ( -2.64)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.83% (

-1.73)

31.17% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.41% (

-2.07)

52.59% (

2.07)

Al Raed Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.79% (

1.72)

43.21% (

-1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.53% (

1.4)

79.47% (

-1.4)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.35% (

-0.85)

6.65% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.33% (

-2.35)

24.67% (

2.35)

Score Analysis

Al Raed 9.04%

Al-Hilal 76.75%

Draw 14.21%

Al Raed	Draw	Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.04%	1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.21%	0-2 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.54% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.37) 0-4 @ 6.46% ( -0.67) 1-4 @ 5.42% ( -0.29) 0-5 @ 3.51% ( -0.56) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 2.94% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.58% ( -0.35) 1-6 @ 1.33% ( -0.21) 2-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.9% Total : 76.75%