Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.