Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 3
Al Ittihad

Mane (3'), Yahya (37')
Al Hassan (61'), Alkhaibari (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benzema (49'), Kante (52'), Aouar (90+4')
Pereira (67'), Al Amri (90+3'), Fabinho (90+3'), Bergwijn (90+7')
Diaby (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-3 Kawasaki
Wednesday, April 30 at 5.30pm in AFC Champions League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-2 Al Ettifaq
Monday, April 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 1-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
58.2% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)20.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)21.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.59% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.79% (0.096999999999994 0.1)33.21% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.04% (0.111 0.11)54.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)11.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.98% (0.052 0.05)36.02% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)28.28% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (0.11 0.11)64% (-0.109 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 58.2%
    Al Ittihad 21.51%
    Draw 20.29%
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 21.51%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Ittihad

Al-Nassr
57.4%
Draw
23.4%
Al Ittihad
19.1%
47
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
Al Ittihad
2-1
Al-Nassr
Benzema (55'), Bergwijn (90+1')
Pereira (60'), Bergwijn (64'), Benzema (67')
Ronaldo (57')
Brozovic (24'), Al-Ghanam (42'), Laporte (59'), Otavio (67')
> Preview
May 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 34
Al-Nassr
4-2
Al Ittihad
Ronaldo (45+3', 69'), Ghareeb (78' pen.), Al Nemer (90+5')
Mane (3'), Al Amri (90+5'), Al Amri (90+7')
Al-Shamrani (89'), Fabinho (90+2')
Al Menhali (51')
Al Menhali (66')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Ittihad
2-5
Al-Nassr
Hamdallah (14', 51')
Al-Ghamdi (28'), Kante (40'), Hamdallah (47'), Fabinho (60')
Fabinho (66')
Ronaldo (19' pen., 68'), Talisca (38'), Mane (75', 82')
Castro (29'), Fofana (30'), Telles (45+11'), Laporte (47'), Alawjami (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!