Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 1-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.