Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29

Apr 22, 2025 at 5.05pm UK

Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Abha)

Damac
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Solan (18'), Stanciu (73')
Al Nemer (43'), Al Sibyani (45+3'), Bedrane (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laporte (25'), Al Hassan (70'), Al-Ghanam (90+4')
Al-Najdi (39'), Boushal (57'), Duran (65'), Al-Ghanam (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Damac

All competitions

Last Game: Al Kholood 1-3 Damac
Friday, April 18 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al Quadisiya 2-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Damac	Draw	Al-Nassr
15.13% ( -0.3)	19.22% ( 0.01)	65.65% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.87% (

-0.68)

39.13% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.54% (

-0.72)

61.46% (

0.72)

Damac Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37% (

-0.82)

38.63% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

-0.79)

75.37% (

0.79)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86% (

-0.13)

11.14% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.41% (

-0.26)

35.59% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Damac 15.13%

Al-Nassr 65.65%

Draw 19.22%

Damac	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.13%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.22%	0-2 @ 10.36% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 7.58% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.16% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.21% Total : 65.65%