MX23RW : Monday, May 12 23:45:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2025 at 5.05pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Abha)
Al-Nassr

Damac
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Solan (18'), Stanciu (73')
Al Nemer (43'), Al Sibyani (45+3'), Bedrane (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laporte (25'), Al Hassan (70'), Al-Ghanam (90+4')
Al-Najdi (39'), Boushal (57'), Duran (65'), Al-Ghanam (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Kholood 1-3 Damac
Friday, April 18 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Damac 1-2 Al-Nassr

Although Al-Nassr have faltered in two of their last three away league outings, their commanding head-to-head record and Damac's recent woes on home soil suggest the visitors should edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
15.13% (-0.304 -0.3) 19.22% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 65.65% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.804 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (-0.684 -0.68)39.13% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (-0.719 -0.72)61.46% (0.715 0.72)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (-0.822 -0.82)38.63% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (-0.789 -0.79)75.37% (0.786 0.79)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.125 -0.13)11.14% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.41% (-0.264 -0.26)35.59% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Damac 15.13%
    Al-Nassr 65.65%
    Draw 19.22%
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.09% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.13%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.22%
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.254 0.25)
0-3 @ 7.58% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.16% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.83% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 65.65%

How you voted: Damac vs Al-Nassr

Damac
12.1%
Draw
3.0%
Al-Nassr
84.8%
33
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 2.40pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Nassr
2-0
Damac
Ronaldo (17' pen., 80')
Mane (26'), Boushal (75')

Al-Hawsawi (36'), Al-Anazi (76'), Al Nemer (90+3')
Bedrane (56')
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Damac
0-1
Al-Nassr

Antolic (40')
Laporte (90+1')
Qassem (41'), Alawjami (69')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Al-Nassr
2-1
Damac
Talisca (52'), Ronaldo (56')
Alkhaibari (10'), Boushal (90+7')
N'Koudou (45+2')
Contra (11'), Hamed (50'), Ceesay (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad31235372324074
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal31215588375168
3Al-Nassr31196673363763
4Al Quadisiya31195747272062
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli31194863323161
6Al ShababAl Shabab31166958372154
7Al Ettifaq31127123943-443
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun31118123433141
9Al Riyadh31108133445-1138
10Damac3197153748-1134
11Al Khaleej3197153651-1534
12Al Kholood31104173759-2234
13Al Fateh3196164055-1533
14Al Fayha31712122545-2033
15Al WahdaAl Wahda3195173961-2232
16Al Orubah3193192865-3730
17Al Okhdood3177172952-2328
18Al RaedAl Raed3163223960-2121


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