Yokohama F Marinos
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 26, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Al-Nassr

Yokohama
1 - 4
Al-Nassr

Watanabe (53', 53')
Matsubara (15'), Yamane (57'), Watanabe (58')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Duran (27', 49'), Mane (31'), Ronaldo (38')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Yokohama F Marinos and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Urawa 3-1 Yokohama
Sunday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Damac 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, April 22 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F MarinosDrawAl-Nassr
34.96% (-0.439 -0.44)22.41% (-0.07 -0.07)42.63% (0.502 0.5)
Both teams to score 67.21% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.75% (0.252 0.25)33.25% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.99% (0.29 0.29)55.01% (-0.297 -0.3)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.098000000000013 -0.1)19.67% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (-0.154 -0.15)51.65% (0.149 0.15)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.295 0.3)16.33% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (0.54 0.54)45.93% (-0.546 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Yokohama F Marinos 34.96%
    Al-Nassr 42.63%
    Draw 22.41%
Yokohama F MarinosDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.21% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.039 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 42.63%

How you voted: Yokohama vs Al-Nassr

Yokohama F Marinos
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Nassr
100%
7