Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.