MX23RW : Tuesday, May 13 00:30:52| >> :60:44:44:
Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals
Apr 30, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Nassr
2 - 3
Kawasaki

Mane (28'), Yahya (87')
Alawjami (37')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ito (10'), Ozeki (41'), Ienaga (76')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Al-Nassr and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-4 Al-Nassr
Saturday, April 26 at 8.30pm in AFC Champions League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Al-Sadd
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawKawasaki Frontale
48.61% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 23.35% (0.102 0.1) 28.04% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)41.17% (0.598 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.608 -0.61)63.56% (0.611 0.61)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.196 -0.2)17.14% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-0.35 -0.35)47.37% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.425 -0.42)27.58% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.553 -0.55)63.1% (0.556 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 48.61%
    Kawasaki Frontale 28.04%
    Draw 23.35%
Al-NassrDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.04%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 3 vs Winner Quarter-final 4

Winner Quarter-final 3
70.3%
Draw
13.5%
Winner Quarter-final 4
16.2%
37
rhs 2.0
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