AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 27, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 2
Al-Sadd

Erison (4'), Marcinho (21'), Wakizaka (98')
FT
(aet)
Otavio (9'), Claudinho (71')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Al-Sadd.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League

Al-Sadd

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Sadd 5-0 Al Ahli
Friday, April 18 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 21.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAl-Sadd
56.92% (-0.321 -0.32)21.48% (0.291 0.29)21.59% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.29% (-1.014 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-1.353 -1.35)38.86% (1.346 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-1.439 -1.44)61.18% (1.433 1.43)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.53800000000001 -0.54)13.51% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (-1.087 -1.09)40.56% (1.083 1.08)
Al-Sadd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-0.744 -0.74)31.44% (0.739 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-0.869 -0.87)67.82% (0.863 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 56.92%
    Al-Sadd 21.59%
    Draw 21.48%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAl-Sadd
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.204 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.369 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.264 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 21.59%