Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Al Wakrah had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.87%) and 3-1 (5.75%). The likeliest Al Wakrah win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.