Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Al Khor had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Al Khor win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.