CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 15, 2024 at 12am UK

Beausejour Stadium

St Lucia
0 - 4
Saint Martin

Henville (36'), Henville (36'), Stanislas (66'), Stanislas (66'), Thomas (78'), Thomas (78')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Lebon (8' pen., 8' pen., 45+2', 45+2'), Barakat (26', 26'), Arne (62', 62')
Barakat (32'), Barakat (32'), Dumas (73'), Dumas (73')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Saint Martin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saint Martin 1-2 St Lucia
Saturday, October 12 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Saint Martin

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saint Martin 1-2 St Lucia
Saturday, October 12 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Anguilla	0	0	0
2	Bonaire	0	0	0
3	Saint Martin	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Saint Lucia	Draw	Saint Martin
46.84% ( 0.45)	23.74% ( -0.01)	29.42% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 59.62% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0.23)

42.12% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

-0.23)

64.52% (

0.23)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

0.09)

18.19% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.8% (

0.15)

49.2% (

-0.16)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88% (

-0.41)

27.12% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.49% (

-0.54)

62.51% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Saint Lucia 46.84%

Saint Martin 29.42%

Draw 23.74%

Saint Lucia	Draw	Saint Martin
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.84%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.42%