UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Narodowy

Poland
3 - 3
Croatia

Zielinski (5'), Zalewski (45'), Szymanski (68')
Zielinski (70')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Sosa (19'), Sucic (24'), Baturina (26')
Gvardiol (33'), Baturina (78'), Budimir (90+2')
Livakovic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Poland 1-3 Portugal
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	4	9
2	Croatia	3	1	6
3	Poland	3	-2	3
4	Scotland	3	-3	0

Croatia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Scotland
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	4	9
2	Croatia	3	1	6
3	Poland	3	-2	3
4	Scotland	3	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Poland had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Croatia
31.08% ( -0.19)	24.6% ( -0.05)	44.31% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 57.59% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79% (

0.11)

45.21% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

0.11)

67.55% (

-0.11)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.07)

27.56% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-0.09)

63.08% (

0.08)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5% (

0.15)

20.5% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02% (

0.24)

52.98% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Poland 31.08%

Croatia 44.31%

Draw 24.59%

Poland	Draw	Croatia
2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.08%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.31%