UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmezs

Latvia
1 - 0
Faroe Islands

Varslavans (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Petersen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Armenia 4-1 Latvia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 N. Macedonia
Saturday, September 7 at 2pm in Nations League

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Latvia in this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Faroe Islands
36.93% ( -0.25)	29.83% ( -0.05)	33.24% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 42.47% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.34% (

0.19)

64.66% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.35% (

0.13)

83.65% (

-0.13)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

-0.06)

33.56% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-0.06)

70.21% (

0.06)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.92% (

0.32)

36.07% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

0.32)

72.86% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Latvia 36.92%

Faroe Islands 33.23%

Draw 29.82%

Latvia	Draw	Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 13.21% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.92%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.82%	0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 33.23%