Latvia

1 - 0

Faroe Islands

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Latvia in this match.