Nations League
Sep 7, 2024 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 6' goal
  • Kaspars Dubra 35' goal
  • Lucas Zelarayan 48' goal
  • Eduard Spertsyan 86' goal
  • goal Georgi Harutyunyan 9' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lukass Vapne 22'
  • yellowcard Janis Ikaunieks 69'

Armenia vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

Latvia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Armenia would win this match.

Result

Armenia 64.58% (+1.07)
Draw 21.53% (-0.43)
Latvia 13.89% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.93% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.35% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 51.65% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 26.57% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 73.43% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 12.37% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 87.63% (-0.27)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 84.68% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 15.32% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 55.95% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 44.05% (-0.94)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 51.88% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 48.12% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 16.68% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 83.32% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Armenia 64.57%
Draw 21.53%
Latvia 13.89%
Armenia
1-0 @ 13.82% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.97% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.11% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 5.94% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 3.81% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.78% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-98.36)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 64.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.53%
Latvia
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.89%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadions Skonto
  • Marcis Oss 31' yellowcard
  • Janis Ikaunieks 39' goal
  • Marcis Oss 52' redcard
  • Eduards Emsis 65' yellowcard
  • Daniels Balodis 68' goal
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 31'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 35' goal
  • Tigran Barseghyan 90'+1' goal
  • goal Styopa Mkrtchyan 67' (OG)