Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.