Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.