National League North | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
4 - 0
Spennymoor

Hall (32'), Horbury (50'), Montgomery (88'), Touray (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Spennymoor Town

All competitions

Last Game: Spennymoor 3-2 Radcliffe
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Spennymoor Town
45.43% ( 0.02)	26.24% ( 0.01)	28.33% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

-0.05)

53.41% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.05% (

-0.04)

74.94% (

0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

-0.01)

23.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55% (

-0.02)

57.45% (

0.02)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.05)

33.71% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.05)

70.36% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Chorley 45.43%

Spennymoor Town 28.33%

Draw 26.23%

Chorley	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.43%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.33%