National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 0
Spennymoor

Staunton (90+2' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 0-7 Buxton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawSpennymoor Town
35.77% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)27.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)37.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.4% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)75.78% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)65.02% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)63.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 35.77%
    Spennymoor Town 37.22%
    Draw 27%
BuxtonDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.77%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Spennymoor
1-1
Buxton
Rutledge (14')
Brennan (19')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Spennymoor
2-3
Buxton
Taylor (54' pen.), Ferguson (68')
Ramshaw (62')
Wright (19'), Kirby (59'), De Girolamo (90+3' pen.)
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Buxton
0-2
Spennymoor
Ramshaw (27'), Harris (79')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Buxton
2-1
Spennymoor
Osborne (20', 41')
Taylor (86')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Spennymoor
0-1
Buxton
Kirby (17')