Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Chorley
41.5% ( 2.59)	27.53% ( -0.29)	30.97% ( -2.3)

Both teams to score 48.25% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75% (

0.56)

57.25% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

0.45)

78.09% (

-0.45)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

1.72)

27.16% (

-1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

2.19)

62.57% (

-2.19)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.25% (

-1.32)

33.75% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.59% (

-1.46)

70.41% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Darlington 41.49%

Chorley 30.97%

Draw 27.52%

Darlington	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.49%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.97%