Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2024 at 12pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Zambia
2 - 2
Zimbabwe

Sunzu (5'), Chama (24')
Chanda (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Bonne (32'), Musona (45+2')

Zimbabwe win 6-5 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Zambia and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Nigeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Zimbabwe
56.96% ( 0.16)	23.49% ( -0.08)	19.55% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.51% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

0.22)

50.31% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

0.2)

72.25% (

-0.2)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

0.14)

17.45% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.09% (

0.24)

47.91% (

-0.24)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97% (

0.04)

40.03% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.32% (

0.04)

76.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Zambia 56.96%

Zimbabwe 19.55%

Draw 23.48%

Zambia	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.96%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.55%