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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Ukraine national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
North Macedonia national football team

Ukraine
2 - 0
N. Macedonia

Sudakov (30'), Karavaev (90+5')
Malinovskyi (69'), Zinchenko (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Milevski (70'), Ademi (90+4'), Serafimov (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 0-2 N. Macedonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Ukraine 2-1 North Macedonia

 The withdrawals of key attackers Yarmolenko and Tsygankov was not on Rebrov's bingo card for October's crucial fixtures, but Mudryk and Ruslan Malinovskyi represent competent alternatives for a side who gave runaway leaders England a good run for their money last month. Revenge will be on the minds of North Macedonia following June's late collapse, but we still have faith in Ukraine to come up trumps in a tight contest and open up a healthy lead over the Lynxes in Group C. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
UkraineDrawNorth Macedonia
61.17% (2.322 2.32) 23.76% (-0.852 -0.85) 15.08% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 40.69% (-0.672 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35% (0.764 0.76)57.65% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.602 0.6)78.41% (-0.598 -0.6)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (1.17 1.17)18.62% (-1.166 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (1.929 1.93)49.92% (-1.924 -1.92)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50% (-1.564 -1.56)50% (1.568 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.34% (-1.112 -1.11)84.66% (1.115 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 61.16%
    North Macedonia 15.08%
    Draw 23.75%
UkraineDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 15.64% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 13.15% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.577 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.184 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.346 0.35)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.16%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.494 -0.49)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 15.08%

How you voted: Ukraine vs N. Macedonia

Ukraine
79.0%
Draw
12.3%
North Macedonia
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Macedonia
2-3
Ukraine
Bardhi (31' pen.), Elmas (39')
Ristovski (8'), Musliu (54'), Shishkovski (90+5')
Musliu (72')
Zabarnyi (62'), Konoplya (67'), Tsygankov (83')
Dovbyk (45+1'), Mykolenko (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 17, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
2-1
N. Macedonia
Yarmolenko (29'), Yaremchuk (34')
Shaparenko (43')
Alioski (57')
Velkovski (59'), Avramovski (83')
> Match Report
Oct 9, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
N. Macedonia
0-2
Ukraine

Brdarovski (45'), Zhuta (58')
Seleznyov (59' pen.), Kravets (87')
Khacheridi (9'), Sydorchuk (36')
> Match Report
Oct 12, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Ukraine
1-0
N. Macedonia
Sydorchuk (45')
Fedeckyj (42'), Sydorchuk (45'), Rotan (72'), Budkivsky (86')

Jahovic (30'), Damcevski (39'), Trajkovski (59'), Abdurahimi (63'), Velkoski (93')
> Match Report
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